Anthropic staff vs public: AI Nobel by 2030?
Why it matters
Anthropic surveyed 10,980 US adults and 1,334 of its staff. Both agree on AI today, but 91% of staff vs 39% of adults expect AI to be able to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030; on average, staff expect AI to be able to do 75% of their own work by 2030 vs 28% for US workers; median staff answers imply 17.1% GDP growth in 2030 vs 5.4%. Both groups link own-job automation to higher unemployment.
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